| JYB Strategic Map / Contested
Territories |
Red regions remain true terrorist states--Iran, Syria, Lebanon and the Palestinian Authority. Of those four, Iran is by far the most dangerous.
Blue regions indicate US-Coalition allies.
Purple regions are the states now in play. Currently, the US-Coalition forces are winning in all four of them: Pakistan no longer sponsors the Taliban, which no longer rules Afghanistan; Afghanistan's security is guaranteed by US and NATO forces, with its first democratic elections in history slated for Fall, 2004; Iraq is sovereign and transitioning toward democratic self-government while its own police forces and US-Coalition troops continue to engage insurgents and foreign terrorists attempting to turn it into an Iranian-style mullahcracy; Saudi Arabia remains the most vulnerable to Islamicist takeover but is currently holding al Qaeda forces at bay and destroying them regularly. Its public stance has been to align itself closer to the United States, even while much of its government and security force remains ideologically aligned with al Qaeda. It remains to be seen whether the House of Saud can reconcile its past funding and support for Wahhabi evangelism, which often amounts to terrorism and anti-Christian pogroms, with its possible future as a responsible non-terrorist state. The tension between retrograde Wahhabi forces and moderate forces may tear the Saudi state apart, opening the way for a radical Islamicist takeover.